Serie D badgeSerie D · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Central SC badgeCentral SCvsSousa badgeSousa

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Central SC Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.3%
Our model61.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Central SC badge

Central SC

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Sousa badge

Sousa

Attack46
Defence59
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

Central SC Win

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model56.7%
The market47.6%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Central SC (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model52.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.