Serie D badgeSerie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK

CEOV Operário badgeCEOV OperáriovsCapital Brasilia badgeCapital Brasilia

1 - 5
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.7%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model66.7%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CEOV Operário badge

CEOV Operário

Attack41
Defence52
Form36
Capital Brasilia badge

Capital Brasilia

Attack47
Defence57
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model66.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model51.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

CEOV Operário (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CEOV Operário Win

Edge +8.9%
Our model37.5%
The market28.6%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.5%

1-0

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.