Copa Uruguay badgeCopa Uruguay · 2 September 2026AI PICK

Cerrito badgeCerritovsDeportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo Maldonado

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
49.0%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.04

LowEdge +5.6%
Our model54.6%
The market49.0%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerrito badge

Cerrito

Attack42
Defence70
Form51
Deportivo Maldonado badge

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack47
Defence81
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market49.0%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.6%Close
Our model54.6%
The market42.0%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Maldonado (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market67.1%
Edge
-14.4
Odds
1.49

Match Winner

Deportivo Maldonado Win

Correct
Our model38.5%
The market51.8%
Edge
-13.3
Odds
1.93

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

13.5%

2-1

8.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.