Segunda División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

CerritovsFenix

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.2%
Market said: 54.1%
Edge: +7.1 pts
Best odds: 1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.1%

Our model61.2%

The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerrito

Attack55

Defence46

Form53

Fenix

Attack74

Defence51

Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss

Our model73.0%

The market78.1%

Edge: -5.1
Odds: 1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.1%Correct

Our model61.2%

The market54.1%

Edge: +7.1
Odds: 1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Close

Our model55.5%

The market43.5%

Edge: +12.0
Odds: 2.30

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Void

Our model54.5%

The market57.1%

Edge: -2.6
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Edge +3.3%Miss

Our model43.3%

The market40.0%

Edge: +3.3
Odds: 2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.5%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

12.1% · actual

2-1

7.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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