Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 12 July 2026AI PICK

Cerrito badgeCerritovsMiramar badgeMiramar

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.01

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model55.9%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerrito badge

Cerrito

Attack64
Defence42
Form53
Miramar badge

Miramar

Attack58
Defence52
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.3%
Our model74.2%
The market71.9%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.39

Draw No Bet

Cerrito (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market49.8%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.01

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market56.8%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.76

Match Winner

Cerrito Win

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model41.8%
The market41.0%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
2.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

13.0%

1-2

7.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.