Primera División - Apertura · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Cerro Largovs
Boston River
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +1.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Cerro Largo Win
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 2.35
Draw No Bet
Cerro Largo (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.20
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
14.0%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.