Cerro Largovs
Cerro
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.3%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +14.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectCerro Largo Win
Match Winner · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Match Winner
Cerro Largo Win
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 2.05
Draw No Bet
Cerro Largo (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
19.8%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.