Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 29 May 2026AI PICK

Cerro Largo badgeCerro LargovsCerro badgeCerro

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Cerro Largo Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +14.5%
Our model63.3%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro Largo badge

Cerro Largo

Attack46
Defence50
Form38
Cerro badge

Cerro

Attack27
Defence37
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Cerro Largo Win

Edge +14.5%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Cerro Largo (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model59.6%
The market63.7%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Close
Our model19.8%
The market17.2%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.8%

0-0

13.1%

0-1

12.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.