Primera División - Apertura · 13 July 2026AI PICK
Cerro Largovs
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.0%
- Market said
- 56.0%
- Edge
- +2.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Cerro Largo (DNB)
- Edge
- +27.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 1.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -9.2
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Cerro Largo Win
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.58
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.6% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.