Primera División badgePrimera División · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Cerro Largo badgeCerro LargovsDefensor Sporting badgeDefensor Sporting

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
58.4%
Markets called
1 of 3 right
Final score
1 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge -4.8%
Our model58.4%
The market63.2%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro Largo badge

Cerro Largo

Attack42
Defence58
Form40
Defensor Sporting badge

Defensor Sporting

Attack34
Defence44
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model71.2%
The market76.3%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model58.4%
The market63.2%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Defensor Sporting (DNB)

Void
Our model53.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market55.7%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Defensor Sporting Win

Miss
Our model38.3%
The market41.3%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.42

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model14.7%
The market16.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.7%

0-0

16.7%

1-1

14.9% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.