Division Profesional - Clausura badgeDivision Profesional - Clausura · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Cerro Porteno badgeCerro PortenovsClub Sp. San Lorenzo badgeClub Sp. San Lorenzo

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro Porteno badge

Cerro Porteno

Attack44
Defence69
Form45
Club Sp. San Lorenzo badge

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Attack22
Defence39
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market98.0%
Edge
-22.7
Odds
1.02

Draw No Bet

Cerro Porteno (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.87

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market62.2%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.52

Match Winner

Cerro Porteno Win

Correct
Our model49.4%
The market77.5%
Edge
-28.1
Odds
1.29

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model17.9%
The market20.6%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.9% · actual

0-0

16.5%

1-1

13.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.