Division Profesional - Clausura badgeDivision Profesional - Clausura · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Cerro Porteno badgeCerro PortenovsNacional Asuncion badgeNacional Asuncion

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro Porteno badge

Cerro Porteno

Attack50
Defence68
Form51
Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack66
Defence95
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model76.9%
The market73.5%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market40.5%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.47

Draw No Bet

Cerro Porteno (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market60.2%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.66

Match Winner

Cerro Porteno Win

Correct
Our model40.9%
The market43.9%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.28

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

2-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.