Cerro Portenovs
Nacional Asuncion
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.2%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +5.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.1
- Odds
- 2.47
Draw No Bet
Cerro Porteno (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.66
Match Winner
Cerro Porteno Win
- Edge
- -3.0
- Odds
- 2.28
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-1
7.5%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.