Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Cerro Porteno badgeCerro PortenovsRubio NU badgeRubio NU

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+8.7 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +8.7%
Our model67.5%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro Porteno badge

Cerro Porteno

Attack50
Defence61
Form52
Rubio NU badge

Rubio NU

Attack30
Defence57
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Cerro Porteno Win

Correct
Our model63.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Cerro Porteno (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.5%Close
Our model19.4%
The market16.9%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
5.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.4%

0-0

11.7%

2-0

11.4% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.