CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 28 May 2026AI PICK

Cerro Porteno badgeCerro PortenovsSporting Cristal badgeSporting Cristal

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+11.8 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +11.8%
Our model59.4%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro Porteno badge

Cerro Porteno

Attack55
Defence69
Form60
Sporting Cristal badge

Sporting Cristal

Attack61
Defence33
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.8%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+11.8
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Cerro Porteno Win

Correct
Our model57.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Close
Our model52.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Cerro Porteno (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.3%
The market9.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-0

10.3%

1-1

10.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.