Primera División - Apertura · 7 June 2026AI PICK
Cerrovs
Penarol
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.1%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +16.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 16.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cerro
Penarol
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 1 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Penarol Win
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.53
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
20.1% · actual
0-0
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.