Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Cerro badgeCerrovsRacing Montevideo badgeRacing Montevideo

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
64.5%
Markets called
2 of 5 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.48

MediumEdge -1.1%
Our model64.5%
The market65.6%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cerro badge

Cerro

Attack28
Defence35
Form31
Racing Montevideo badge

Racing Montevideo

Attack41
Defence88
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model74.2%
The market84.7%
Edge
-10.5
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model64.5%
The market65.6%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

Racing Montevideo (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model57.7%
The market62.8%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Racing Montevideo Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-14.2
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.6%
The market19.1%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.6%

0-0

19.9%

1-1

14.5%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.