Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Cesar Vallejo badgeCesar VallejovsU. San Martin badgeU. San Martin

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.3%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Cesar Vallejo Win

Match Winner · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +0.5%
Our model58.3%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cesar Vallejo badge

Cesar Vallejo

Attack49
Defence43
Form40
U. San Martin badge

U. San Martin

Attack49
Defence34
Form17

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Cesar Vallejo Win

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model58.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Cesar Vallejo (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model46.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.5%

0-1

14.3% · actual

1-1

11.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.