Serie B badgeSerie B · 8 May 2026AI PICK

Cesena badgeCesenavsPadova badgePadova

3 - 4
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+20.4 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +20.4%
Our model70.4%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 20.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cesena badge

Cesena

Attack34
Defence38
Form27
Padova badge

Padova

Attack37
Defence50
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.4%Miss
Our model70.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Cesena Win

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Cesena (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.