Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 18 April 2026AI PICK

CF Montreal badgeCF MontrealvsNew York Red Bulls badgeNew York Red Bulls

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.7%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+2.0 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +2.0%
Our model65.7%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CF Montreal badge

CF Montreal

Attack48
Defence31
Form25
New York Red Bulls badge

New York Red Bulls

Attack55
Defence35
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model65.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

CF Montreal (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CF Montreal Win

Correct
Our model40.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.