Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 16 May 2026AI PICK

CF Os Belenenses badgeCF Os BelenensesvsMafra badgeMafra

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +6.2%
Our model60.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CF Os Belenenses badge

CF Os Belenenses

Attack73
Defence49
Form58
Mafra badge

Mafra

Attack55
Defence37
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

CF Os Belenenses (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CF Os Belenenses Win

Correct
Our model48.2%
The market60.6%
Edge
-12.4
Odds
1.65

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.6%
The market9.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.6%

2-1

9.7%

1-1

9.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.