Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 10 May 2026AI PICK

CF Pachuca badgeCF PachucavsToluca badgeToluca

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
62.5%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model65.6%
The market62.5%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CF Pachuca badge

CF Pachuca

Attack58
Defence64
Form67
Toluca badge

Toluca

Attack58
Defence64
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Close
Our model65.6%
The market62.5%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model64.9%
The market65.4%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

CF Pachuca Win

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model56.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

CF Pachuca (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

8.2%

1-2

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.