Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 2 May 2026AI PICK

CF Talavera badgeCF TalaveravsArenas Getxo badgeArenas Getxo

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model65.0%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CF Talavera badge

CF Talavera

Attack37
Defence43
Form33
Arenas Getxo badge

Arenas Getxo

Attack48
Defence41
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Close
Our model65.0%
The market60.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

CF Talavera (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

CF Talavera Win

Our model42.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.