Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 17 May 2026AI PICK

CF Talavera badgeCF TalaveravsOurense CF badgeOurense CF

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
52.4%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +4.8%
Our model52.4%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CF Talavera badge

CF Talavera

Attack38
Defence50
Form38
Ourense CF badge

Ourense CF

Attack50
Defence46
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss
Our model52.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

CF Talavera Win

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model49.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

CF Talavera (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.3%
The market13.3%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.3%

1-0

13.1%

1-1

11.3%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.