Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 25 April 2026AI PICK

CF Talavera badgeCF TalaveravsReal Madrid II badgeReal Madrid II

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
52.7%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +6.2%
Our model52.7%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CF Talavera badge

CF Talavera

Attack34
Defence45
Form33
Real Madrid II badge

Real Madrid II

Attack79
Defence43
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model52.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.5%
The market52.4%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Real Madrid II (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Real Madrid II Win

Our model31.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-19.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.