Serie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

CFRJ / MaricávsXV de Piracicaba

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 49.1%
Market said: 45.5%
Edge: +3.6 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

LowEdge +3.6%

Our model49.1%

The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CFRJ / Maricá

Attack36

Defence30

Form31

XV de Piracicaba

Attack66

Defence60

Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 1 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct

Our model49.1%

The market45.5%

Edge: +3.6
Odds: 2.20

Draw No Bet

XV de Piracicaba (DNB)

Our model44.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -13.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

XV de Piracicaba Win

Our model32.2%

The market52.6%

Edge: -20.4
Odds: 1.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss

Our model15.4%

The market13.4%

Edge: +2.0
Odds: 7.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.4%

1-1

10.4%

0-2

10.2%

We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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