League One badgeLeague One · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Changchun Yatai badgeChangchun YataivsNanjing City badgeNanjing City

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+6.7 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +6.7%
Our model55.5%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Changchun Yatai badge

Changchun Yatai

Attack60
Defence33
Form49
Nanjing City badge

Nanjing City

Attack31
Defence60
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Changchun Yatai (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Close
Our model55.5%
The market48.8%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Changchun Yatai Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-15.6
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.5%
The market14.4%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.94

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.5%

1-1

12.6%

2-0

11.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.