Serie A · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Chapecoense-scvs
Bahia
3 - 3Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 49.7%
- Edge
- +4.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Bahia (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.6
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Bahia Win
- Edge
- -6.5
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.66
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.3%
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.7%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.