Copa Do Brasil badgeCopa Do Brasil · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Chapecoense-sc badgeChapecoense-scvsBotafogo badgeBotafogo

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
52.7%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +7.2%
Our model52.7%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chapecoense-sc badge

Chapecoense-sc

Attack27
Defence49
Form33
Botafogo badge

Botafogo

Attack62
Defence47
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Close
Our model52.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.2%Miss
Our model51.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Botafogo Win

Edge +4.5%
Our model50.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Botafogo (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1%

0-2

11.0%

1-2

9.9%

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.