Serie A badgeSerie A · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Chapecoense-sc badgeChapecoense-scvsFlamengo badgeFlamengo

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+11.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.9%
Our model61.2%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chapecoense-sc badge

Chapecoense-sc

Attack49
Defence44
Form41
Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack71
Defence66
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market49.3%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market67.6%
Edge
-27.6
Odds
1.48

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

11.1%

2-1

6.9%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.