Premier League badgePremier League · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Chapelton badgeChapeltonvsSpanish Town Police badgeSpanish Town Police

6 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
38.2%
Edge
+32.2 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.62

High confidenceEdge +32.2%
Our model70.4%
The market38.2%

The market underrated this by 32.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Chapelton badge

Chapelton

Attack48
Defence43
Form44
Spanish Town Police badge

Spanish Town Police

Attack24
Defence23
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market90.9%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +32.2%Miss
Our model70.4%
The market38.2%
Edge
+32.2
Odds
2.62

Match Winner

Chapelton Win

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Chapelton (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.