USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Charleston Battery badgeCharleston BatteryvsSacramento Republic badgeSacramento Republic

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.5%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model64.5%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Charleston Battery badge

Charleston Battery

Attack80
Defence51
Form59
Sacramento Republic badge

Sacramento Republic

Attack48
Defence70
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.9%
The market82.0%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Charleston Battery (DNB)

Edge +14.3%Void
Our model71.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Close
Our model64.5%
The market53.8%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Charleston Battery Win

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model61.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

8.3% · actual

3-1

7.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.