US Open Cup badgeUS Open Cup · 28 April 2026AI PICK

Charlotte badgeCharlottevsAtlanta United FC badgeAtlanta United FC

0 - 2
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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.1%
Market said
58.5%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +8.6%
Our model67.1%
The market58.5%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Charlotte badge

Charlotte

Attack67
Defence62
Form62
Atlanta United FC badge

Atlanta United FC

Attack44
Defence51
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Close
Our model67.1%
The market58.5%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model63.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Charlotte (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Charlotte Win

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model55.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.