Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Charlotte badgeCharlottevsNew York City FC badgeNew York City FC

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.9%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+15.1 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +15.1%
Our model73.9%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 15.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Charlotte badge

Charlotte

Attack59
Defence51
Form48
New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack59
Defence48
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.1%Miss
Our model73.9%
The market58.8%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model68.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Charlotte (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Charlotte Win

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model51.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.