Championship · 15 August 2026AI PICK
Charltonvs
Derby
2 - 1Close
Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 53.7%
- Markets called
- 1 of 4 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 2 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
LowEdge -0.2%
Our model53.7%
The market53.9%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
Our model63.1%
The market66.7%
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
Derby (DNB)
Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model53.7%
The market53.9%
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model52.8%
The market55.2%
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Derby Win
Miss
Our model31.6%
The market38.5%
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.2% · actual
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.1%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.