National 2 - Group A badgeNational 2 - Group A · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Châteaubriant badgeChâteaubriantvsBayonne badgeBayonne

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.0%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model64.0%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Châteaubriant badge

Châteaubriant

Attack26
Defence40
Form24
Bayonne badge

Bayonne

Attack52
Defence96
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Close
Our model64.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Bayonne (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Bayonne Win

Our model30.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model19.4%
The market16.9%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
5.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

19.4%

0-0

11.7%

0-2

11.4%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.