Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 12 April 2026AI PICK
Chaves IIvs
Bragança
1 - 1Miss
Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +3.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissChaves II Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
LowEdge +3.8%
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Double chance : Chaves II or draw
How the two sides compared
Chaves II
Attack100
Defence38
Form60
Bragança
Attack100
Defence0
Form40
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +18.6%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Chaves II Win
Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Chaves II (DNB)
Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.