Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Chaves badgeChavesvsAVS badgeAVS

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

LowEdge +1.2%
Our model53.8%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chaves badge

Chaves

Attack61
Defence35
Form44
AVS badge

AVS

Attack61
Defence38
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.1%
The market84.7%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Chaves (DNB)

Void
Our model58.5%
The market67.1%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market53.4%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Chaves Win

Miss
Our model42.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0%

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.