Chavesvs
Leixoes
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.1%
- Market said
- 54.9%
- Edge
- +3.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.82
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.82
The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Chaves
Leixoes
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 1.29
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.82
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.02
Draw No Bet
Chaves (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Chaves Win
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.