Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 27 April 2026AI PICK

Chaves badgeChavesvsOliveirense badgeOliveirense

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
51.5%
Edge
+13.5 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +13.5%
Our model65.0%
The market51.5%

The market underrated this by 13.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chaves badge

Chaves

Attack41
Defence42
Form29
Oliveirense badge

Oliveirense

Attack41
Defence38
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.5%Close
Our model65.0%
The market51.5%
Edge
+13.5
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Chaves Win

Edge +7.4%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Chaves (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.8%
The market55.2%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.