First League badgeFirst League · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Chayka badgeChaykavsFakel badgeFakel

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
40.7%
Edge
+16.8 pts
Best odds
2.46

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.46

MediumEdge +16.8%
Our model57.5%
The market40.7%

The market underrated this by 16.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chayka badge

Chayka

Attack43
Defence23
Form18
Fakel badge

Fakel

Attack69
Defence80
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.8%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market40.7%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
2.46

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model50.5%
The market48.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Chayka (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Chayka Win

Our model35.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.