National League - South badgeNational League - South · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Chelmsford City badgeChelmsford CityvsMaidenhead badgeMaidenhead

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
55.2%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.81

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model61.3%
The market55.2%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chelmsford City badge

Chelmsford City

Attack45
Defence100
Form60
Maidenhead badge

Maidenhead

Attack34
Defence48
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market79.4%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Chelmsford City (DNB)

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model62.5%
The market62.1%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.61

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market55.2%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.81

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market50.5%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

Chelmsford City Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market49.8%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.01

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7% · actual

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.