League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Chelsea badgeChelseavsLeeds badgeLeeds

6 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
57.4%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model62.1%
The market57.4%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Chelsea badge

Chelsea

Attack93
Defence42
Form70
Leeds badge

Leeds

Attack61
Defence100
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
1.19

Draw No Bet

Chelsea (DNB)

Correct
Our model66.6%
The market74.6%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model62.1%
The market57.4%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market58.4%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Chelsea Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market59.2%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
1.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.