Chelseavs
Leeds
6 - 3Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 57.4%
- Edge
- +4.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Chelsea
Leeds
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.0
- Odds
- 1.19
Draw No Bet
Chelsea (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.0
- Odds
- 1.34
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Chelsea Win
- Edge
- -7.4
- Odds
- 1.69
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.