FA Cup · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Chelseavs
Manchester City
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.5%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +9.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Chelsea
Manchester City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Chelsea (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Chelsea Win
- Edge
- +19.1
- Odds
- 4.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.31
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.1% · actual
1-1
7.9%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.