Premier League badgePremier League · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Chelsea badgeChelseavsManchester United badgeManchester United

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.3%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +8.6%
Our model72.3%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chelsea badge

Chelsea

Attack70
Defence38
Form41
Manchester United badge

Manchester United

Attack63
Defence54
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model72.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model67.7%
The market69.4%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Chelsea (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Chelsea Win

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.