Premier League badgePremier League · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Chelsea badgeChelseavsNottingham Forest badgeNottingham Forest

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.2%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model64.2%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chelsea badge

Chelsea

Attack57
Defence38
Form33
Nottingham Forest badge

Nottingham Forest

Attack60
Defence87
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model64.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model63.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Chelsea (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Chelsea Win

Our model38.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.