FA WSL badgeFA WSL · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Chelsea W badgeChelsea WvsManchester United W badgeManchester United W

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.7%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+12.6 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

High confidenceEdge +12.6%
Our model70.7%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 12.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chelsea W badge

Chelsea W

Attack64
Defence54
Form72
Manchester United W badge

Manchester United W

Attack52
Defence70
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model70.7%
The market58.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.2%Miss
Our model66.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Chelsea W Win

Correct
Our model58.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Chelsea W (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.1%

2-2

7.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.