First League badgeFirst League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Chelyabinsk badgeChelyabinskvsSpartak Kostroma badgeSpartak Kostroma

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
54.9%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +0.3%
Our model55.2%
The market54.9%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chelyabinsk badge

Chelyabinsk

Attack46
Defence37
Form36
Spartak Kostroma badge

Spartak Kostroma

Attack63
Defence67
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model75.9%
The market74.6%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.34

Draw No Bet

Spartak Kostroma (DNB)

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model65.9%
The market57.5%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market54.9%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market47.8%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.99

Match Winner

Spartak Kostroma Win

Edge +7.8%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market42.2%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.37

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

12.5%

0-2

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.