First League badgeFirst League · 25 May 2026AI PICK

Cherno More Varna badgeCherno More VarnavsArda Kardzhali badgeArda Kardzhali

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.9%
Market said
59.2%
Edge
+7.7 pts
Best odds
1.69

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.69

MediumEdge +7.7%
Our model66.9%
The market59.2%

The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cherno More Varna badge

Cherno More Varna

Attack38
Defence51
Form44
Arda Kardzhali badge

Arda Kardzhali

Attack49
Defence62
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Miss
Our model66.9%
The market59.2%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

Cherno More Varna Win

Edge +16.3%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market36.8%
Edge
+16.3
Odds
2.72

Draw No Bet

Cherno More Varna (DNB)

Miss
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.8%
The market55.2%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.81

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.5%

1-0

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.