First League · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Cherno More Varnavs
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 0Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 71.3%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +12.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.9
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Botev Plovdiv (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Botev Plovdiv Win
- Edge
- -20.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 6.45
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.