First League · 12 May 2026AI PICK
Cherno More Varnavs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 - 0Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.1%
- Market said
- 59.2%
- Edge
- +12.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.69
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.69
The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.27
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.69
Match Winner
Cherno More Varna Win
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Cherno More Varna (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.4
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.0%
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.