First League · 9 August 2026AI PICK
Cherno More Varnavs
Ludogorets
2 - 3Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.5%
- Market said
- 48.1%
- Edge
- +8.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -12.0
- Odds
- 1.18
Draw No Bet
Ludogorets (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Ludogorets Win
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.08
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.8%
0-2
7.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.